Vietnam’s GDP Jumps 8.46% in 4Q25 as Manufacturing and Trade Defy US Tariffs Impact

Vietnam’s economy outperformed expectations in the final quarter of 2025, as robust activity in manufacturing, investment, and trade allowed the nation to weather U.S. tariffs.

Gross domestic product expanded 8.46% in the October-December period from a year earlier, according to data released by the National Statistics Office in Hanoi. The figure topped the 7.70% median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of analysts.

Growth was broad-based across sectors, with industry and construction expanding 9.73%, services advancing 8.82%, and agriculture increasing 3.70%. On the trade front, Vietnam’s exports and imports both surged during the quarter, rising 19.34% and 19.40%, respectively.

Vietnam remained one of the world’s fastest-growing economies, supported by aggressive lending, a weaker dong, and a tourism rebound, which helped counter the impact of a 20% U.S. tariff imposed in August.

For the full year, GDP grew 8.02%, slightly missing the government’s 8.3%-8.5% target. Even so, this marked the strongest quarterly growth since late 2007 and the best annual performance since 2011.