US Futures Mute as Investors Monitor Fed Policy Meeting

US stock futures traded near flat line early Tuesday, pausing after the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a new record during regular trading amid optimism over a possible U.S.-Iran agreement. Investors are weighing the near-term implications for markets as negotiations continue.

At 4:42 p.m. (Bangkok Time), futures linked to the Dow edged up 0.09% after the index ended Monday at a fresh all-time high. S&P 500 futures nudged down 0.03%, while contracts tracking the Nasdaq 100 registered a 0.12% gain.

In Monday’s session, the Dow advanced 468.77 points, or 0.92%, reaching a record closing high. The S&P 500 added 1.65%, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 3.07%.

Market participants are monitoring the potential impact of the U.S.-Iran peace initiative, particularly around Friday’s scheduled reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Although the deal promises renewed access for oil shipments, analysts caution that restoring volumes could face delays and logistical challenges. The specific terms of the agreement have yet to be disclosed, which has dampened some initial enthusiasm. However, U.S. officials have stated that commercial vessels will be able to pass through the strategic waterway without incurring tolls.

The uncertain outlook around the U.S.-Iran accord comes as the Federal Reserve begins its June policy meeting. Persistent inflation—partly the result of earlier energy market disruptions—remains a focal point, with the Bank of Japan having raised its key interest rate to the highest level in over three decades in an effort to address rising prices.

Tuesday’s Fed meeting, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, is widely expected to end with no change in rates, but Wall Street will be paying close attention to the dot plot for signals of future hikes. Investors will also review May figures for housing starts and trade prices for additional insight into the economic outlook.