China’s announced 4.8% economic expansion in the third quarter of 2025, in line with a Reuters poll amid slower growth due to geopolitical uncertainties.
This marks a deceleration from the 5.2% recorded in the second quarter, and would be the weakest growth since Q3 of 2024. The poll suggests that the growth rate could lose further momentum in the coming months, moderating to 4.3% in the fourth quarter.
For all of 2025, GDP is expected to expand 4.8%, falling short of Beijing’s target of around 5%. Looking ahead, analysts polled by Reuters expect economic growth to slow further to 4.3% in 2026.
